Global Saturday: a week in the green despite the Fed
World markets survived the Fed week without a scar, as the channel's 'Global Saturday' put it. Nasdaq finished the week up about 0.70% and closed Friday higher again; gold, after a sharp $90 intraday washout on the decision, recovered toward $4,400. While Turkish investment funds tell a very local story, the global question was simple: why didn't equities crack when the Fed still signals one more move? The answer was a stack — earnings, expectations, and a fresh on-chain permission that landed on top of the Fed narrative.
On Sept 17 the Fed lowered the target range by a quarter point to 4–4.25%, with one dissenter pushing for a half-point cut. The dot plot keeps one more hike on the table for this year — investors map it to December, after the November midterms, not October — but conviction is thin. The same drift happened in August, when data flipped the pre-meeting consensus. That is why every CPI, payroll and oil print between now and December is priced tick by tick: a soft inflation read trims hike odds and lifts equities, crypto and metals. Last week the market simply front-ran that sensitivity and ignored the hawkish dot, yet the underlying math hasn't gone away: as the risk-free rate rises, equity valuations should, in theory, come down. More strategists now flag that as a medium-term headwind rather than an imminent crash.
Valuation vs. the risk-free rate is the hinge. As the discount rate climbs, target prices typically shrink — a point echoed across last week's strategy notes. Ed Yardeni, a veteran since the 1970s, cut his S&P 500 year-end target from 8,400 to 7,900 largely on the rate path; still bullish, but with fewer points left on the table. Scott Wch at CU and others argue the rate climb will eventually dent equity performance. No one is calling a collapse; the shield is earnings. So long as mega-cap tech prints strong profit and revenue, the Fed's move doesn't shrink the balance sheet story and Nasdaq keeps climbing — until rates actually bite into earnings momentum.
Two Nasdaq themes: Bitcoin treasury and software's comeback
The week's top gainers clustered around two themes. At the very top was Strategy, the company with the largest Bitcoin treasury — when Bitcoin jumps, it jumps. Below the top five, a long tail of blockchain-linked equities also outperformed; if the Bitcoin leg holds, that tail stays supported. The other theme was software, led Friday by CrowdStrike, Palo Alto Networks and Fortinet, with AI-infra names like Nebius tagged as 'system software' close behind. Valuations are the nuance: Nebius' forward price/earnings near 1,360 and CrowdStrike's near 6,500 show the market is paying for growth at almost any price. If that growth stalls, the drawdown could be brutal. On the cheaper end, names like DUOT screen with far lower P/Es — software is not one story but two, expensive growers versus selective value.
Friday's software bounce cannot be read without the prior week's AI backlash. Anthropic's CEO called for limits on frontier AI — one researcher even put a 10% chance that AI wipes out humanity in the next decade — and Senator Bernie Sanders delivered a fierce 'stop AI' speech. Pushback runs through both Democrats and a vocal Republican base, and it triggered a wave of selling in AI names. Then President Trump said, in effect, 'no limits, we are competing with China,' and AI names snapped back. The software link is indirect but powerful: for months software had been sold on the fear that AI makes code cheap — a few prompts replace a product. If AI itself faces a leash, even a self-imposed one, that feared endgame is pushed years forward. That deferral, more than any product news, lifted software on Friday. For Turkish investors without a research desk, global tech funds that hold these names remain the plain-vanilla way to get exposure.
What tokenization means and why it's called the next big thing
Tokenization starts with the blockchain primitive — a decentralized ledger replicated across thousands of nodes and extended block by block. That architecture makes it possible to mint a digital twin for almost any real asset, so a tokenized Tesla, Nvidia or Apple share carries the same economic right as the traditional one and can trade on a crypto venue when Nasdaq is closed, whether as a Hyperliquid perpetual on a weekend or a Robinhood tokenized share in hours. The missing piece was law: no jurisdiction had a full market-infrastructure rulebook for tokenized equities, including the U.S. Just as the 2024 Bitcoin spot ETF approval rallied on the expectation of new rails long before listing, tokenized stocks priced a similar promise while sitting parallel to DTCC clearing. Regulated tokens like Franklin Templeton's FOBXX and BlackRock's BUIDL already live on-chain but settle outside DTCC — the breakthrough now is merging those rails so the same CUSIP can live in both worlds under identical investor protections, on a timetable Nasdaq and the SEC have finally set.
The law fell, the permission came: Clarity Act vs. the SEC pilot
Crypto got two opposite headlines last week. The first dragged Bitcoin down: the Senate's long-running Clarity Act — the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act that would define market structure — failed its procedural vote, unable to clear the 60-vote threshold. Democrats voted against en bloc, with defections from Republicans; prediction markets put passage near 14%, with Hill whispers at 3–5%. The vote disappointment knocked Bitcoin below $76,000 early in the week and drove net outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs for several sessions. After 18 months and tens of millions in lobbying, the industry's top policy bet stalled.
The second headline lifted it. On Sept 8 Nasdaq filed proposed rule change SR-NASDAQ-2025-072 to allow tokenized equities and ETPs to trade on the exchange; the SEC noticed it on Sept 16. The design is deliberately boring: a tokenized share is fungible with its traditional twin, shares the same CUSIP, carries the same material rights, and trades in the same Nasdaq order book with the same priority — tokenization is an election at settlement, cleared through DTC if the participant opts in. Nasdaq's Q&A stresses no radical rebuild is needed; it compares the shift to decimalization and ETF approvals, enabled within existing national market system rules. Then, on Dec 11, 2025, the SEC issued a No-Action Letter to DTCC's Depository Trust Company to build a tokenization service for select stocks, ETFs and fixed-income securities. DTCC says the service will be production-ready in H2 2026, initially for highly liquid names — Russell 1000 constituents and major index ETFs — with voting and ownership rights identical to book-entry shares. That is the 'five-year' window referenced in the video: absent a Clarity Act, the regulator opened a pilot that the pipes can run on.
Why Hyperliquid and Robinhood — and why Bitcoin now?
The transmission to Bitcoin is plumbing, not poetry. Venues that offer tokenized products — Robinhood for spot tokenized shares, Hyperliquid for perpetuals — already see outsized flow; being able to trade equity-linked exposure 24/7 pulls fresh money onto crypto rails. In the week of July 13–19, ARK Invest director Lorenzo Valente flagged that real-world asset (RWA) volume on Hyperliquid hit $26 billion, or 54% of the platform's weekly volume — the first time non-crypto assets out-traded crypto on a major perp DEX. Blockworks data put Hyperliquid at $50 billion of the industry's $79 billion perp DEX volume that week, with SK Hynix among the most-traded stock names and Trade.xyz printing a single-day $5.59 billion record. Net: money from TradFi is trickling on-chain, and the market is pricing that trickle as Bitcoin's next demand leg.
Scale helps frame the bet. Citi GPS 'Tokenization 2030 — Wall Street On-Chain' puts today's tokenized market near $17 billion and sketches a base case of $5.5 trillion by 2030 (bull $8.2 trillion, bear $2.7 trillion), led by public equities and treasuries rather than private assets. Young retail's appetite for 24/7 access is a core driver — if 10% of U.S. retail moves on-chain, that alone is about $2.6 trillion of demand for tokenized public equities, Citi estimates — and the settlement leg is finally catching up as regulated stablecoins scale toward $1.9 trillion. The DTCC, NYSE and Nasdaq pilots are no longer experiments but integrations into issuance, trading and settlement. Nasdaq is explicit that tokenized shares keep the same protections as traditional shares; the 'messy middle' of hybrid systems running side by side is expected, but it is now calendared, not conceptual.
The risk is symmetrical and the video is right to hammer it. Even with an SEC runway, many tokens will launch without authorization and dodge oversight — fertile ground for pumps, dumps and outright manipulation. Crypto is already an extraordinarily risky asset class; tokenized equities layer equity risk onto crypto microstructure. Markets also front-run expectations and sell the fact, just as they did into the 2024 ETF approvals; the inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs on the last two days of last week were textbook expectation-buying after the SEC permission. In Turkey, where the Capital Markets Board (SPK) is the local gatekeeper, the video flags OKX TR as one of the best-capitalized venues that filed for a license, offering 440+ pairs, lira pairs and Turkish support — but licensing still decides who can operate at all. Blockchain-themed funds exist through large Turkish bank-affiliated portfolio managers, yet their reputation has been dented. The next big thing can scale fast, and it can also misfire fast — caution is not optional in this rally.
Tokenized Market: Today to 2030
- Today (~2025)$17B
- 2030 Bear$2.7T
- 2030 Base$5.5T
- 2030 Bull$8.2T
| Feature | Traditional | Tokenized (Nasdaq/DTC) |
|---|---|---|
| CUSIP / Rights | Book-entry via DTC | Same CUSIP, same rights |
| Order book | Single Nasdaq book | Same book, same priority |
| Hours | Exchange session only | 24/7 via venue |
| Settlement | DTC book-entry | On-chain if elected via DTC |
| Access | Broker required | Wallet + broker hybrid |
Key moments
- Despite the Fed, Nasdaq finishes up 0.70% for the week
- Dot plot flags December: one more hike still on the table
- Strategy on top, software snaps back on Friday
- Anthropic's 10% warning vs Trump's 'no limits' push
- Tokenization: the on-chain twin of the same share
- Clarity Act fails 60-vote hurdle — Bitcoin dips below 76k
- Nasdaq filing and SEC/DTCC pilot: same CUSIP, H2 2026
- RWA hits 54% on Hyperliquid — $26B week
AI commentary
"In my view, this week priced not the Fed but the next rail of finance — tokenized equities are no longer a pitch, they are on Nasdaq and DTCC's calendar."
AI assessment
The video's strength is tying two worlds into one causal chain — law stalls in the Senate, the regulator opens a pilot, venues print volume, Bitcoin reacts. Validating Nasdaq's 'same CUSIP, same book, DTC settlement' simplicity and DTCC's H2 2026 calendar turns that chain from speculation into infrastructure. The 'buy the rumor, sell the fact' callback to the 2024 ETF run-up gives viewers with memory a useful frame for how expectations move crypto before fundamentals do.
Its limits are equally clear. The narration frames the Fed as hiking when the Sept 17 decision was actually a cut to 4–4.25% with a dot that keeps December as a possible hike — directionally correct about higher-for-longer risk, but sign-flipped for a newcomer. Calling tokenization 'lawless everywhere' also overstates; Europe has pilot regimes and some Asian hubs have bounded frameworks — the difference is scale and DTCC centrality in the U.S. Finally, Hyperliquid/Robinhood RWA prints are impressive but still niche; a $26 billion weekly RWA week is small next to Nasdaq's single-day volume.
My takeaway: tokenization is less a 2024-ETF-style 'new demand' story and more a 'new rail' story — ETFs bring demand, rails reroute it. So while the price pop starts with Bitcoin, durable value accrues to whoever standardizes settlement, custody and 24/7 access. Tactically, being long the expectation makes sense, but screen every product with two filters: is it really on the DTC/DTCC rail, and are issuer rights truly identical? If either answer is 'no,' it's not a tokenized stock — it's a tokenized imitation.
Sources
8 links; 1 of them also cited by 1 other story. Stories sharing a link do not confirm each other; a source's origin is not inferred from how often it is cited.
- @youtube.com YouTube — Bitcoin $81k and Tokenized Stocks Analysis
- @sec.gov https://www.sec.gov/files/rules/sro/nasdaq/2025/34-103989.pdf
- @nasdaq.com https://www.nasdaq.com/docs/2025/09/08/Tokenization-Filing-QA.pdf
- @dtcc.com https://www.dtcc.com/digital-assets/tokenization
- @coindesk.com https://www.coindesk.com/policy/2026/09/15/crypto-clarity-act-flames-out-in-failed-u-s-senate-vote
- @citi.com https://www.citigroup.com/global/insights/tokenization-2030
- @gate.com https://www.gate.com/news/detail/rwa-trading-hits-54-of-hyperliquid-volume-surpassing-crypto-for-first-time-22943744
- @federalreserve.gov https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/monetary20250917a1.pdf
Also cited by: Fed Admits Inflation Fight Runs Until 2029: Why Debt Zombies Could Collapse and Fortress Stocks Win
tokenization · sec · nasdaq · bitcoin · rwa · dtcc · hyperliquid